Ordinary Gweilo

It's not big and it's not clever, it's just a Brit in Hong Kong writiing (mainly) about Hong Kong

  • Catch-up TVLast week I mentioned that TVB Pearl has introduced a service for watching TV shows (well, one particular show) online. 

    So I had to try it out, but I have to say that I was totally underwhelmed by the experience.  The show plays on a tiny embedded screen surrounded by black bars (it’s the plane being lifted out of the sea), and if you expand it to a full screen it is horribly blurry.

    The show is divided into 4 segments, and each one starts with an advert.  The first time I watched it, the programme started and then the advert appeared after a few seconds, which is rather annoying.

    It’ll never catch on, this Internet TV business.

  • I have been asked to mention HK Photo Competition, a new blog to publicize, well, a photo competition.  Go take a look.

  • I thought the Magic TV 5000 was hugely over-priced at HK$4980 (as per their website and Post Magazine), and so I am not surprised that Fortress is now selling it for HK$3999 – which is more reasonable but still too high.


    There’s another similar box from Topcon, at HK$2199 for 160gb and HK$2599 for 250gb, and this does have dual tuners.  So I am sticking with my theory that Magic TV need to add a second tuner and reduce the price to HK$3000.  I think they will in the next couple of months.

  • The government is apparently thinking of bringing forward the start date for the concession on the domestic helper levy.  It’s often a mistake for a government to announce something too far in advance – the classic example being the abolition of dual mortgage tax relief by the UK government 20 years ago.  People rushed to buy before the deadline, prices shot up – and then fell dramatically, leaving many people with negative equity. 

    Clearly this change is nothing like so dramatic, but it still creates opportunities for people to take advantage of the concession.  One option I hadn’t thought about is mentioned in an editorial in the SCMP today (Relief on maids levy must be fair to all – subscription required):

    The arbitrary nature of the relief for employers leaves potential loopholes that can be exploited at the expense of helpers. Their representatives have raised fears that unscrupulous employers would terminate helpers’ contracts so they could sign new ones from September 1 without paying the levy, a tactic they could repeat before the suspension expires on August 31, 2010, in order to get another two years’ relief. The Department of Immigration is expected to announce more details of the new policy next week. The change needs to be seen to work fairly for both employers and their helpers. The government tacitly acknowledged this yesterday by suggesting that suspension of the levy could be brought forward.

    Most employers will eventually receive some benefit – when they sign or re-sign a contract with a helper during the two-year period. But if the change had been thought through better, the government would have made the changes immediate and refunded employers on a pro-rata basis for the part of their helper’s contract that falls within the suspension period. This would ensure all employers are treated equally and none are tempted to break contracts or hold off on hiring in order to take advantage. It is not too late to make it that simple and transparently fair.

    It can be made even simpler if they refund the levy on all current contracts (as of the announcement date).  I don’t see why there is any need to make a pro-rata calculation – the levy will have been paid for a two-year period and that is the length of the concession.  Employers who sign new contracts after the announcement won’t benefit, and the only case in which this would be unfair would be if an old contract had expired just before the date and a new one was signed just afterwards, but that would only affect a tiny number of people.    

    However, I’m still puzzled that people seem not to realize that terminating a contract early means that you lose however much of the levy you have already paid.  

  • They didn't think this through, did they?

    On Wednesday, the government announced that the current domestic helper levy of HK$400 per month would be suspended from 1 September for 2 years (which is the length of a domestic helper contract).  However, this concession only applies to contracts signed on or after that date, so if you start a new contract on or before 31 August you would have to pay the levy for the next two years.  In theory, you would then benefit when you sign the new contract starting in August 2010, but that depends on a couple of things – if this turns out to be a permanent concession then of course you have missed out on the saving for two years, and if doesn't then you would need to sign the new contract by 31 August.

    So, of course, employers are considering waiting until 1 September to sign a new contract, or may even terminate an existing contract in order to start a new one and get the benefit as soon as possible (though this may not be worthwhile doing).  Which would be fair enough, except for the big problems this will cause to the domestic helpers – would have to leave Hong Kong (because of immigration rules), which means paying the airfare on top of the loss of the salary they would have earned if they had started a new contract immediately).

    The SCMP reports that the government thinks this will not be a problem (Fears that maids will be sacked rejected – subscription required):

    The Immigration Department yesterday dismissed fears that the timing of a two-year suspension of the levy on foreign maids could lead to widespread sacking of helpers.  Suspension of the HK$9,600 levy, announced on Wednesday, applies only to contracts signed on or after September 1. This has led to fears that employers would terminate contracts of maids they now employ to take advantage of the decision.

    Concern has also been voiced that employers whose helpers' terms are ending would delay hiring until September, forcing out-of-contract maids to leave Hong Kong until then.

    A department spokesman said details of the new policy would be  announced early next week.  He said he did not think the new policy would lead to helpers' contracts being terminated.  "If employers terminate contracts, they have to pay for the air ticket, one month's pay and wages for the helper's holidays," he said.

    It's strange that they don't mention the levy under the existing contract would have already been paid, so there doesn't seem to provide much incentive to terminate a contract early.  However if the contract expires in August you could simply wait until 1 September to start a new contract, so there would be no need to pay one month's wages in lieu of notice.  If you think that the levy will actually be abolished in two years rather than being re-introduced then you might think it worthwhile to give one month's notice to terminate the contract – but only if it expires within the next few weeks.

    Joseph Law, chairman of the  Employers of Overseas Domestic  Helpers Association, said the government should backdate introduction of the policy to July 1.  "I am afraid if the government uses September 1 as a cut-off date, some employers will wait until then [to hire helpers]," he said. "As a consequence, the helpers who finish their contracts in the next few weeks will have to leave Hong Kong, as new employers will not sign new contracts."

    That seems possible, except that parents are not going to want to be without a helper during the school holidays, so maybe the impact will be limited.

    Part of the problem here is that this is such a strange tax. It is due upon signing a contract, and can either be paid as a lump sum or in four fixed installments.  If the contract is terminated, the government does not refund the money that has been paid (and any outstanding payments are still due), but it will be offset this sum against the next contract for the same employer.  It's not clear whether the government will follow the same rules and offset the levy that's been paid against a future contract that starts after 1 September 2010).   

    If the levy was paid monthly, the government could suspend the payments for 2 years, which would make it all quite simple, instead of which we have this mess.

    The other point that needs to be made is that when this levy was introduced it was really a tax on domestic helpers' salaries, because their salaries were cut by the same amount as the levy.  Now the government is suspending the levy, and it is the employers who are getting the benefit. 

  • I am amused to see that the SCMP has turned on Lee Shau-kee after previously reporting his mad predictions about the Hang Seng Index as if he were some kind of genius (Lee losing Midas touch as trust falls 25pc in value – subscription required): 

    Lee Shau-kee, who was last year touted as Asia’s Warren Buffett, is finding his reputation as a champion stock picker increasingly tarnished.

    The tycoon yesterday revealed that the value of his personal trust invested mainly in Hong Kong stocks had dropped 25 per cent from its peak last year – a paper loss of HK$50 billion.  Dubbed “Asia’s Midas of Stocks”, Mr Lee has proved to be an investment mortal and is feeling the pain of the slumping market along with the small punters he encouraged to buy stocks during last year’s bull run.

    Mr Lee said his Shau Kee Financial Enterprises, a personal trust he founded in 2004 with HK$50 billion in seed capital, saw its value surge to HK$200 billion as the Hang Seng Index rose to a record 31,638.22 points in October last year.

    The index has since slipped 32.92 per cent to 21,223.5 points yesterday while Mr Lee said the trust’s value had lost 25 per cent to HK$150 billion.  Speaking at a media lunch hosted by the Hong Kong Pei Hua Education Foundation, Mr Lee said he was no longer as optimistic about equities but had not given up entirely.  “I hope the Hang Seng Index will rebound to the 25,000 level by the end of this year,” said Mr Lee, who is also the chairman of Henderson Land Development.

    But his predictions are increasingly falling on deaf ears as they prove to be way off the mark.  In May, he said the index would rise to the 30,000 level by August, the month of the Beijing Olympics.  In December last year, less than a month after predicting that the index would return to the 30,000 level by year-end, he pushed back his target to the first quarter of this year, blaming turmoil in global markets.

    Mr Lee yesterday said market sentiment would not improve in the coming months, partly because summer was “a low season”.  “It is not a good time to buy stocks at the moment”, even though he believes that the market at this level has reached its bottom.  Mr Lee expects the stock market will start improving by September, and he may consider buying then.

    He is also bearish on the property market. With rising inflation and tighter lending policies, he does not expect home prices will see a sharp appreciation.  “Don’t make any investment move at the moment,” Mr Lee said.  But gold – long a safe haven in any investment storm – would perform better in the wake of the weakening US dollar.

    All I can say is that if Lee Shau-kee thinks now is not a good time to buy stocks, it must mean that the market is going to be heading upwards. 

  • In the UK, the BBC’s iPlayer has been a huge success – if you miss a TV show, you can watch it again on your PC. 

    Rather unexpectedly, TVB has just announced a similar service, though it will only cover a few shows (from ABC), starting with Dirty Sexy Money, which will be available on Friday (the day after it airs on TVB Pearl).  No sign of this news in the SCMP, but it has been reported elsewhere (TVB offers free Disney series online):

    Hong Kong-based English-language channel TVB Pearl and Disney-ABC International Television have linked up to make a selection of US network series available on-demand for free.

    The agreement, said to be the first of its kind for both companies in Hong Kong and Asia, will see series such as Lost, Desperate Housewives and Dirty Sexy Money available ad-supported on TVB’s CatchUp TV.

    The first show to launch on the service will be Dirty Sexy Money, which premieres on Thursday July 17 at 22.35, with episodes of series such as Lost, Desperate Housewives and Brothers & Sisters following soon.

    Each episode will be available for free 12 hours after its TV broadcast at Pearl.tvb.com, where it will remain available for four weeks.
    Rob Gilby, senior VP and MD at Disney-ABC International Television Asia Pacific, said: “Viewers today want complete flexibility and choice in how and when they watch their favourite shows. This deal is another step in our commitment to help them stay connected anytime.”

    Cynics might point out that these shows are already available online (without ads), but at least TVB seem to understand what is happening.

  • This week we are at Tottenham Hotspur FC – biggest single shareholder (and former chairman) Sir Alan Sugar – and the teams have to sell subscriptions to a text messaging service (Spurs On).  Saira is in charge of First Forte, and Paul is the project leader for Impact.

    The two teams are brainstorming.  Paul thinks they could advertise on the back of the advertising hoardings (so that the fans could see it).  Saira wants a slogan.  James thinks Saira talks too much, and I think he’s right. 

    Saira is getting frustrated with Matt House, the Director of Commercial Partnerships at the football club.  She even threatens him by saying that she will complain to Sir Alan.  Understandably, he doesn’t take this very well. Meanwhile, Paul’s team seem to be doing far better with getting their ideas accepted – they want to use the ‘jumbotron’ (Electronic scoreboard) and the PA system, and he agrees.

    (more…)

  • One of the things you have to admire about George Adams is that he is always willing to admit that he was wrong.  He used to complain that blogs were trivial and inconsequential, and then he started putting photographs of his girlfriend (and all sorts of other trivia) on to his own website – though he can’t quite bring himself to use the b word.

    He took part in a phone-in on RTHK and predicted that Spike magazine would fail because the Internet was the future.  Apparently he was also wrong about that, because he has now deleted all the content from his website and started publishing a print magazine instead (well, he deleted everything on the main page apart from a long plug for the print edition, but has now added a couple of new stories). 

    I haven’t seen the magazine (distribution up in the wilds of the New Territories is patchy to say the least), but it is apparently available in dozens of branches of Park’n’Shop, which is owned by Li Ka Shing, who George accused of blocking his website (though others felt that it was actually a technical problem with his web host).  Obviously he’s changed his mind as well.

    It’s hard to believe that he can sell enough copies even to cover his costs.  Or maybe this is all an elaborate joke.  Does he do jokes (apart from hugely amusing one about all bloggers being fat)?

  • scan0006There’s an excellent editorial in today’s Sunday Morning Post (Burning iPhone envy? Don’t believe the hype):

    Undeniably, since its inception in the 1970s, Apple has revolutionised the way we use personal computers and listen to music. iPod’s impact today has been as great as the Sony Walkman, if not greater. Its worldwide popularity forces music companies to rethink their business models or risk going under. But is the new iPhone comparably revolutionary, as claimed? Yes, it is – a revolution in the sublime art of marketing hype.

    Wise words, indeed .

    SCMP 080712Now then, which newspaper had a front-page story yesterday (Saturday) with a picture of the lucky, lucky, person who bought the first iPhone 3G from Hutchuson Telecom, and then followed it up with more nonsense about this non-story covering virtually all of the front page of the City section:

    Could it possibly have been the South China Morning Post?  I think it could.  There were also a couple of stories on Friday:

    It’s a good thing the SCMP didn’t fall for the hype, then, because that would have made their editorial on Sunday look rather silly.